Tuesday, October 08, 2013

 

Still Peddling the Big Lie

Here is a rather shrill article on global warming climate change from a true believer. It's interesting to note that most of the article is generally a complaint that no one seems to care about global warming any more. The author seems to think that the Tsunami in Japan in 2011 was caused by global warming when it was wholly the result of an undersea earthquake which even theoretically has nothing whatever to do with CO2 in the atmosphere. Perhaps I read that paragraph wrong.

Then comes the alarmists' new position: A tiny increase in the tiny amount of the beneficial trace gas CO2, necessary for almost all life here on Earth, is causing ever more extreme weather. It's a complete lie. The weather is not getting more extreme. See for yourself.

I unfortunately can't seem to copy any part of the article so I'll paraphrase.

She says the recent Boulder floods were "probably" the result of global warming, as were recent floods in Pakistan, India and Mexico. Likewise the fire in Arizona last year which killed 19 firefighters was "likely" enhanced by global warming. That's not very good proof.

Then she admits this: "For the record, climate change is clearly helping to produce many of the bigger, more destructive, more expensive, more frequent disasters of our time, but it is impossible to point to any one of them and say definitely, this one is climate change." (Emphasis added).

OK, if that is true, and it is, then how can you be sure, as she is about medium hurricane Sandy last year, that any particular weather event was fueled, caused, enhanced or contributed to by global warming? She answers: "It's like trying to say which cancers in a contaminated area were caused by contamination; you can't, but what you can say is that the overall rise in cancer is connected."

So (like seeing if cancer rate increasing) one looks at the traditionally extreme weather events recorded over time, 50 years is a good time axis, 100 years is better (last week is not long enough) and see if the number of extreme events has risen in frequency, or in destructive power. Are any?
The answer is not one measurement of traditional extreme weather over 50 years in length shows any such rise in frequency or power or destructive results (measuring increased damage in today's dollars merely records the shrinking of the dollar's buying power and is not a measure of the extreme nature of a natural disaster).

You see, the alarmists, which Ms. Solnit certainly is, have had to paint themselves into this corner of "extreme weather" increase because the climate models are all wrong and the global average temperature (such as it is) has not increased in nearly two decades and has actually gone down in the last decade. There is no alarmism available in a falling temperature (although there should be as the inevitable return of the glacial period will be far worse for us than any warming scenario made up from whole cloth by the alarmists). The trouble is, there just isn't any, you know, evidence that extreme weather is increasing over the long haul. None. Indeed, what all the measurements show is the normal sine curve all weather related phenomena show over long periods of time. Actually, lately the weather is getting less extreme.

Ms. Solnit unconsciously reveals why ever fewer believe in the alarm the true believers are raising. Hint: It's not disinformation from skeptics.

Ever more shrill and ever more inaccurate and ever more sure. That's the climate change alarmists' position in 2013 and in the foreseeable future.

Four
Four months ago, two bombers in Boston murdered three people and injured hundreds in a way spectacularly calculated to attract media attention, and the media obeyed with alacrity. Climate change probably fueled the colossal floods around Boulder, Colorado, that killed seven people in mid-September, but amid the copious coverage, it was barely mentioned in the media. Similarly, in Mexico, 115 people died in unprecedented floods in the Acapulco area (no significant mention of climate change), while floods reportedly are halving Pakistan’s economic growth (no significant mention), and 166 bodies were found in the wake of the latest Indian floods (no significant mention).
Climate change is taking hundreds of thousands of lives in Africa every year in complex ways whose causes and effects are difficult to follow. Forest fires, very likely enhanced by climate change, took the lives of 19 firefighters facing Arizona blazes amid record heat waves in July. Again, climate change generally wasn’t the headline on that story.
(For the record, climate change is clearly helping to produce many of the bigger, more destructive, more expensive, more frequent disasters of our time, but it is impossible to point to any one of them and say definitely, this one is climate change. It’s like trying to say which cancers in a contaminated area were caused by the contamination; you can’t, but what you can say is that the overall rise in cancer is connected.)
Not quite a year ago, a climate-change-related hurricane drowned people when superstorm Sandy hit a place that doesn’t usually experience major hurricane impact, let alone storm surges that submerge amusement parks, the New York City subway system and the Jersey shore. In that disaster, 148 people died directly, nearly that many indirectly, losses far greater than from any terrorist incident in this country other than that great anomaly, 9/11. The weather has now become man-made violence, though no one thinks of it as terrorism, in part because there’s no smoking gun or bomb—unless you have the eyes to see and the data to look at, in which case the smokestacks of coal plants start to look gun-like and the hands of energy company CEOs and well-paid-off legislators begin to morph into those of bombers.
- See more at: http://www.thenation.com/article/176520/our-house-fire-reality-our-changing-climate#sthash.eXcyL6j5.dpuf
Four months ago, two bombers in Boston murdered three people and injured hundreds in a way spectacularly calculated to attract media attention, and the media obeyed with alacrity. Climate change probably fueled the colossal floods around Boulder, Colorado, that killed seven people in mid-September, but amid the copious coverage, it was barely mentioned in the media. Similarly, in Mexico, 115 people died in unprecedented floods in the Acapulco area (no significant mention of climate change), while floods reportedly are halving Pakistan’s economic growth (no significant mention), and 166 bodies were found in the wake of the latest Indian floods (no significant mention).
Climate change is taking hundreds of thousands of lives in Africa every year in complex ways whose causes and effects are difficult to follow. Forest fires, very likely enhanced by climate change, took the lives of 19 firefighters facing Arizona blazes amid record heat waves in July. Again, climate change generally wasn’t the headline on that story.
(For the record, climate change is clearly helping to produce many of the bigger, more destructive, more expensive, more frequent disasters of our time, but it is impossible to point to any one of them and say definitely, this one is climate change. It’s like trying to say which cancers in a contaminated area were caused by the contamination; you can’t, but what you can say is that the overall rise in cancer is connected.)
- See more at: http://www.thenation.com/article/176520/our-house-fire-reality-our-changing-climate#sthash.URQ9citD.dpuf
Four months ago, two bombers in Boston murdered three people and injured hundreds in a way spectacularly calculated to attract media attention, and the media obeyed with alacrity. Climate change probably fueled the colossal floods around Boulder, Colorado, that killed seven people in mid-September, but amid the copious coverage, it was barely mentioned in the media. Similarly, in Mexico, 115 people died in unprecedented floods in the Acapulco area (no significant mention of climate change), while floods reportedly are halving Pakistan’s economic growth (no significant mention), and 166 bodies were found in the wake of the latest Indian floods (no significant mention).
Climate change is taking hundreds of thousands of lives in Africa every year in complex ways whose causes and effects are difficult to follow. Forest fires, very likely enhanced by climate change, took the lives of 19 firefighters facing Arizona blazes amid record heat waves in July. Again, climate change generally wasn’t the headline on that story.
(For the record, climate change is clearly helping to produce many of the bigger, more destructive, more expensive, more frequent disasters of our time, but it is impossible to point to any one of them and say definitely, this one is climate change. It’s like trying to say which cancers in a contaminated area were caused by the contamination; you can’t, but what you can say is that the overall rise in cancer is connected.)
- See more at: http://www.thenation.com/article/176520/our-house-fire-reality-our-changing-climate#sthash.URQ9citD.dpuf
Four months ago, two bombers in Boston murdered three people and injured hundreds in a way spectacularly calculated to attract media attention, and the media obeyed with alacrity. Climate change probably fueled the colossal floods around Boulder, Colorado, that killed seven people in mid-September, but amid the copious coverage, it was barely mentioned in the media. Similarly, in Mexico, 115 people died in unprecedented floods in the Acapulco area (no significant mention of climate change), while floods reportedly are halving Pakistan’s economic growth (no significant mention), and 166 bodies were found in the wake of the latest Indian floods (no significant mention).
Climate change is taking hundreds of thousands of lives in Africa every year in complex ways whose causes and effects are difficult to follow. Forest fires, very likely enhanced by climate change, took the lives of 19 firefighters facing Arizona blazes amid record heat waves in July. Again, climate change generally wasn’t the headline on that story.
(For the record, climate change is clearly helping to produce many of the bigger, more destructive, more expensive, more frequent disasters of our time, but it is impossible to point to any one of them and say definitely, this one is climate change. It’s like trying to say which cancers in a contaminated area were caused by the contamination; you can’t, but what you can say is that the overall rise in cancer is connected.)
- See more at: http://www.thenation.com/article/176520/our-house-fire-reality-our-changing-climate#sthash.URQ9citD.dpuf
Four months ago, two bombers in Boston murdered three people and injured hundreds in a way spectacularly calculated to attract media attention, and the media obeyed with alacrity. Climate change probably fueled the colossal floods around Boulder, Colorado, that killed seven people in mid-September, but amid the copious coverage, it was barely mentioned in the media. Similarly, in Mexico, 115 people died in unprecedented floods in the Acapulco area (no significant mention of climate change), while floods reportedly are halving Pakistan’s economic growth (no significant mention), and 166 bodies were found in the wake of the latest Indian floods (no significant mention).
Climate change is taking hundreds of thousands of lives in Africa every year in complex ways whose causes and effects are difficult to follow. Forest fires, very likely enhanced by climate change, took the lives of 19 firefighters facing Arizona blazes amid record heat waves in July. Again, climate change generally wasn’t the headline on that story.
(For the record, climate change is clearly helping to produce many of the bigger, more destructive, more expensive, more frequent disasters of our time, but it is impossible to point to any one of them and say definitely, this one is climate change. It’s like trying to say which cancers in a contaminated area were caused by the contamination; you can’t, but what you can say is that the overall rise in cancer is connected.)
- See more at: http://www.thenation.com/article/176520/our-house-fire-reality-our-changing-climate#sthash.URQ9citD.dpuf
Four months ago, two bombers in Boston murdered three people and injured hundreds in a way spectacularly calculated to attract media attention, and the media obeyed with alacrity. Climate change probably fueled the colossal floods around Boulder, Colorado, that killed seven people in mid-September, but amid the copious coverage, it was barely mentioned in the media. Similarly, in Mexico, 115 people died in unprecedented floods in the Acapulco area (no significant mention of climate change), while floods reportedly are halving Pakistan’s economic growth (no significant mention), and 166 bodies were found in the wake of the latest Indian floods (no significant mention).
Climate change is taking hundreds of thousands of lives in Africa every year in complex ways whose causes and effects are difficult to follow. Forest fires, very likely enhanced by climate change, took the lives of 19 firefighters facing Arizona blazes amid record heat waves in July. Again, climate change generally wasn’t the headline on that story.
(For the record, climate change is clearly helping to produce many of the bigger, more destructive, more expensive, more frequent disasters of our time, but it is impossible to point to any one of them and say definitely, this one is climate change. It’s like trying to say which cancers in a contaminated area were caused by the contamination; you can’t, but what you can say is that the overall rise in cancer is connected.)
- See more at: http://www.thenation.com/article/176520/our-house-fire-reality-our-changing-climate#sthash.URQ9citD.dpuf

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